Evangelist of transport modelling
I build transport models of cities and countries. They give the answer before construction starts, and every figure in them can be checked.
Writing
113 of the 250 routes in the new tender touch the seven regions with the worst shortage of intercity buses. Plus a correction to the August post: the previous tender drew 119 bids for 200 lots, and 65 routes got a winner.
Read →57% of Kyivpastrans trips are subsidised - for those passengers nothing changes. We went through this in 2018, when the difference between fares was one hryvnia.
Read →Model calculation: in the worst case up to 35% of passengers switch to minibuses, and the cost per trip in municipal transport goes up. Seven weeks later the minibus fare rose to 25 hryvnias.
Read →Media
The Southern Bridge is Kyiv's main freight link; extra metal structures and nets are dangerous for overloaded bridges; pontoons and embankment dams would give half the bridge capacity only if there were dozens of them, a “fortress” mode; the best answer is layered air defence.
Read →No collapse, but closing several bridges at once would sharply lengthen trips; the bigger threat is residents and specialists gradually leaving the city.
Read →Text version of a Radio NV broadcast, 3 October: bridges as a systemic target, no alternative to the bridges, a tunnel under the Dnipro is not the answer; the rest is behind a paywall.
Read →Buses cannot match trains for capacity, but they back up the railway as a reliable decentralised system that is almost impossible to destroy.
Read →Freezing capital spending hits Kyiv hard: underground construction cannot simply be paused, and the risk to the Vynohradar metro line grows if the emergency bridge cracks. The government stopped everything with one decision…
Read →An eight-question interview. Raising the fare to 30 hryvnias is a major mistake: some trips disappear, passengers move to minibuses, and in the long run it means more car and EV purchases and more congestion.
Read →A selection. Quotes are translated from Ukrainian - the verbatim originals, and the full record, are in the catalogue: 453 primary appearances and 204 reprints since 2013, in Ukrainian.
Profile
Director of ProMobility · co-founder of B-lab · Senior Lecturer at the Department of Urban Construction, KNUBA · expert at the We Build Ukraine think tank
Eighteen years of building transport models, from a single intersection to the national model of Ukraine. Clients include the World Bank, the EBRD, the Asian Development Bank, EGIS, PTV Group and Zaha Hadid Architects.
Fifteen countries. Those I can name: Ukraine, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Armenia, Albania, Moldova, Saudi Arabia, Czechia, Germany. Two more are under non-disclosure agreements.
ProMobility is an IT company - MobTech, software and analytics applied to transport planning. B-lab supplies PTV Group and Schlothauer & Wauer software and TomTom traffic data to the Ukrainian market. I have taught transport planning at KNUBA since 2008.
Regional transport model, demand assessment along the corridor and comparison of development options against each other.
A justified set of alternatives, so the investment project enters feasibility study with a baseline rather than from scratch.
Lead transport planner and modelling expert, full project period.
Supply and demand for transport occupations - road freight and urban public transport. What education provides, what the industry requires, where the gap sits.
World Bank report On the Road to Recovery: Addressing Ukraine's Transport Labor Shortages, 66 pages, open access.
Short-term consultant, September - November 2025. Co-author of the published report.
Methodology for a large-scale mobility survey and a full update of the city model on fresh data.
Tbilisi City Hall evaluates decisions on a current model rather than one inherited from the previous planning cycle.
Team leader, transport modelling.
Mobility survey and a city transport model - the instrument on which SUMP measures are tested before they are adopted.
The city plans mobility on calculation rather than assumption: every SUMP measure can be checked against the model.
Transport modelling, May 2024 - February 2026.
Four-step demand model for the city and its agglomeration; the same model was used to test route network optimisation options.
Kyiv gained, for the first time, an instrument on which a transport decision can be tested before it is implemented.
Project manager and transport modelling specialist.
Five projects that represent me best. A wider list - with years, clients and cities. Work done under non-disclosure agreements is not shown anywhere.
Research
A selection. The full record is in ORCID, Scopus and Google Scholar.
Channels
International profile: projects, donors, publications. The place to reach me in English.
Open →Main platform, in Ukrainian: own posts, analysis and discussion with colleagues and journalists.
Open →Lectures for KNUBA students, reviews of design decisions, recorded talks.
Open →Cities, streets and transport from trips: what does not fit into text.
Open →Channel for KNUBA students: consultations, deadlines, job openings in the field.
Open →One-minute explanations for those who do not read long reads.
Open →Contact